September Lessons

It is very easy for investors to become complacent with the returns experienced over the last twelve months. As we close out September we come back to the reality that volatility still exist and markets will fluctuate. Last week was an excellent example with 200 points swings in the Dow over a period of 48 hours. Many investors were asking last Thursday if this was the big correction. By Friday morning the tide and turned and the “never mind” seemed to be the conversation of the day.

So what did we learn? Volatility is not a bad thing and can present excellent buying opportunities. That a 200 point decline in percentage points is only about 2%; hardly a doom and gloom event. Timing a market is impossible. Just think how you would feel last Friday afternoon if you would have sold out on Thursday.

We are now entering the strongest part of the seasonality of markets. Remember the old saying of sell in May and buy after Labor Day? Also, we have the midterm elections and beginning of 18 months of political focus which has been historically positive for the markets. Therefore, this minor selloff is actually a positive if history is to be believed.



About billriley

Chief Executive Officer, Chief Compliance Officer A co-founder and shareholder, William Riley is a 33 year industry veteran, who observed, many years ago, that over time institutional investors typically outperform individual investors while accepting less risk. In his role as Chief Executive Officer, Bill works tirelessly to make the wealth management strategies used by the world’s wealthiest families and largest institutions available to our firm’s individual clients. Bill combines fundamental and technical analysis to minimize investment portfolio risk and maximize potential returns. He uses a variety of non-correlated asset classes, including alternative investments, to minimize portfolio volatility and seek absolute returns in down or flat markets. Finally, Bill believes in a comprehensive approach to wealth management that fully coordinates and seamlessly integrates portfolio management, risk management and asset protection, trust, estate, tax and charitable planning. Prior to co-founding Riley Wealth Management ,LLC, Bill held management positions at Merrill Lynch, UBS, Raymond James, Paine Webber and J.C. Bradford. Bill founded Fort Worth branches for Raymond James and J.C. Bradford. Prior to entering the financial services industry, Bill ran his families closely held businesses. Bill’s experience operating family businesses combined with his wealth management experience makes him uniquely qualified to advise entrepreneurs and business owners on a variety of matters including complex and sensitive issues relating to business succession. Bill’s degrees and designations included a Masters Degree in Business Administration (MBA), the Chartered Financial Consultant designation (ChFC), the Chartered Life Underwriter designation (CLU) and the Wealth Management Specialist designation (WMS). A Fort Worth native, Bill is a TCU alum and active in many civic and charitable organizations. Bill and his wife, Marsha, now reside in Colleyville, and they have four grown children and four grandchildren. When he is not working on portfolios or studying financial markets, Bill can be found on the golf courses of Ridglea Country Club.
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